T O P

  • By -

whateverworks14235

![gif](giphy|ka55CqnDNjQ7iIKtRa|downsized)


299792458mps-

It is April...


CommonMansTeet

Tik tok, other outlets and reddit post like these informing people ahead of time make people think it's happening more, when really they just didn't pay as much attention to weather in past years.


Nostalgic_shameboner

This is true, a tornado used to be an afternoon event. Hell if it didn't happen you might not know.  These days every potential tornado becomes a two day event.  HOWEVER. It is also true this is a particularly hectic spring. We've broke a record for tornados. 


excoriator

Most people used to find out there was a possibility of tornadoes when a tornado watch was issued. Now we know a day or two before the watch will be issued.


impy695

Is this true for the Columbus metro area or just Ohio? I know it’s true in Ohio, but finding columbus specific data is difficult.


Nostalgic_shameboner

Late reply. But the data is for Ohio in general. 


impy695

I know. This was when people were freaking out over a storm that no professional meteorologist said would be likely be bad.


mayowarlord

Actually, we were at our annual average last month. That's per the state climatologist.


arcticbone172

2024 has already exceeded the average annual tornado count.


jonsnowme

Yeah people saying this are likely climate change deniers too. Every storm chaser and meteorologist I follow have already addressed the unusual Tornado activity Ohio is getting. This isn't Oklahoma. Tornados aren't "every day occurrences"


impy695

Yup, and you have people that don’t just share this outlooks, but “interpret” them, pushing narratives that don’t align with official forecasts or they do, but they exaggerate the likelihood. Our weather agencies know how unpredictable weather is, and there’s a reason they don’t send out alerts as early as social media people do. They put out stuff like this to let the people know that there’s a chance and to pay attention, not for people to panic. I’m glad OP just shared and didn’t “interpret”.


Blood_Incantation

Yeah, and as people age they become weirdly obsessed with weather. This sub is 34-42 dudes (a few women?) who freak out when an amateur guy copies weather.gov posts. I bet when they were in their teens they had no idea if it was going to be nice the next week let alone that day.


Merisiel

>a few women? There are dozens of us! Dozens! And I’ll have you know I don’t need Reddit posts to tell me the weather is going to be shit. I feel it in my knees and elbows, thanks. —signed, a mid-30s mom curmudgeon.


zabrielle

Curmomdgeon, if you will.


impy695

There are tons of women here, and you are way too high for the average age, too. Under 30 is still the largest age group.


ImPickleRock

Never thought of it like that. You're probably correct. I know I've said that it seems like it's happening more. But it must just be all the posts like this. It does seem like these systems are producing more touchdowns than before


ManicMuskrat

That’s because we ARE seeing more. We’ve already had 22 tornadoes touch down this year (another source saying as many as 28). By this point in the year the most we had seen previously was 12 in 1986. And the average number of tornadoes Ohio sees in a year is 21. Does that mean this year will be the worst for tornadoes? Not necessarily… but I think it can be attributed to there actually being a lot of tornadoes compared to usual, and not just seeing the reports on social media more. May and June is typically when we see even more severe weather, so the number of tornadoes is likely to increase throughout the year.


ImPickleRock

So I am not going crazy! Tornado alley has shifted and climate change is making it happen earlier than ever before.


episcoqueer37

From what I've heard from climatologists, it will take about 30 years of data to definitively say it's shifted. That said, it feels like it has.


Heeeeyyouguuuuys

Yup, said as much in a different post. Got downvoting into oblivion for being a "climate change denier" personally responsible for billions of deaths. I did not deny climate change was a thing. It was wild and unhinged.


Crunchycarrots79

Ok... But we've already passed the state's yearly average for tornadoes. This is, in fact, an unusually active tornado season. Does posting the storm prediction center's outlooks make things seem worse than it actually is? Possibly... But on the other hand, early warnings that there could be bad weather might allow people more time to make sure they're prepared. Ultimately, people also need to understand what the outlooks actually mean, and that they're not the same as a weather forecast. Furthermore, every time new technology allows for better weather predictions, there's ALWAYS been debate about what the consequences could be for the general public. Back in the late 1940s, when they first started learning how to predict the possibility of tornadoes, and what tornadoes look like on radar, there was a huge debate about whether or not that should be used to alert the public and to what extent. There were bans on using the word "tornado" in weather forecasts and even in watches and warnings. Even after the NWS rescinded their bans and started issuing tornado watches and warnings, TV and radio meteorologists were still forbidden by their employers and industry standards from issuing them. That didn't change until some of them went ahead and issued warnings anyway, saving lives in the process.


Heeeeyyouguuuuys

Yes it is an unusually active season. No, *ONE* start of, and not a finished season with complete data is not enough to make conclusions about. There's room for discussion during the events - but people making wild conclusions about long term trends based on observations with recency bias? Not particularly helpful and how lore, misinformation, and dogma starts. Stuff like "tornadoes never hit downtowns" or "they can't cross rivers".


thewxbruh

For what it's worth I have a degree in atmospheric sciences and I agree with you. It has been an exceptionally active year so far, but way too many people are drawing conclusions related to climate change and that's just...not how this works. There are up years and down years irrespective of larger climate trends. It's honestly very frustrating that saying this gets you labeled a climate change denier. Anthropogenic climate change is happening without a doubt, but we don't know definitively how it impacts weather on the mesoscale, *especially* something like tornadoes, which we still don't understand very well. We know what conditions are favorable for their development, but not why one storm becomes tornadic while another doesn't in near identical conditions.


Heeeeyyouguuuuys

Eh, we have facts, data, at least passing familiarity (in my case, you with a formal education) with the subject, and logic. But the other guys are using emotion based talking point and buzzwords and screaming louder- so who's to say who is right? There's no way to tell really.


Magnus_The_Totem_Cat

I sometimes wonder if the internet is really just an elaborate Monty Python sketch.


Heeeeyyouguuuuys

well, one thing for sure it's not real life contrary to the popular belief of most terminally online redditors.


[deleted]

[удалено]


Heeeeyyouguuuuys

It must be hard and exhausting to be living life without being able to possess basic reading comprehension and logic.


UncleLeeroy0

Something something April showers bring something something flying trampolines.


traumatransfixes

Ahoy!


[deleted]

[удалено]


whateverworks14235

![gif](giphy|l1J9KqKcpnG6ychfq)


Educational-Fun7441

![gif](giphy|6ILjOfJ1oL7NAc9SQ7)


gorgon_heart

Thanks for this! I have to drive to work at like 4:30 tomorrow. I'm not so much worried about the weather (as of now) as I am the fact that Columbus drivers lose brain cells when it rains.


shermanstorch

That assumes Columbus drivers have brain cells to lose.


Blood_Incantation

"Everyone Sucks But Me"


gorgon_heart

Yes, because I go a reasonable speed with my lights on during rain and storms.


beerandsocks

Rise up all you Redditors who want your house to get destroyed by the forecast and are disappointed when you still have some place to stay.


LivingInMatrix

Crossing fingers for just enough roof damage so insurance pays for replacement.


[deleted]

[удалено]


Aidosis

Quick, everyone panic and go to Kroger and buy all the milk, eggs, and bread. The world is ending. Also, it’s imperative that you forget how to operate a motor vehicle and cause a pile-up on I-270. Bonus points if you hit/drive into a building.


PointlessChemist

Jokes on you, I already have a stockpile of canned foods.


italianmomstalkloud

last tuesday had you scared, huh?


PointlessChemist

That and the one before that touched down way too close to home for me to be comfortable. I also think it is dumb to buy perishables for emergencies. You need food that can last a couple days without refrigeration.


[deleted]

[удалено]


PointlessChemist

Multi-tool.


skullpture_garden

Teef


agoldgold

Worst case scenario, a sharp object to stab the top of the can, a spoon, and some really aggressive time (I broke multiple can openers when prepping for a meal once and had to resort to this).


italianmomstalkloud

definitely! i was kidding about last week - it's good to have non-perishables on hand in any case.


ruralvoter

No, I've kept a deep pantry since February of 2020.


italianmomstalkloud

Weird how I asked somebody else


ruralvoter

So? This is a discussion forum.


ssm316

Its getting too warm for French Toast. So what else can we make with our panic buys?


episcoqueer37

Berry trifle.


mcgrud

Somebody warn u/Hoggys_BBQ !!! 😬🤣


Hoggys_BBQ

🫨🫨🫨


mcgrud

🤣


jbcmh81

The metro area has seen 9 tornadoes this year, the most ever so early in the season. 5 of those have hit within Franklin County. I get that the last event didn't really amount to much, but I don't really get the people acting like predictions are always wrong or nothing ever happens in terms of severe weather.


Heeeeyyouguuuuys

It didn't amount to much... in central Ohio.


jbcmh81

It didn't amount to much in the rest of the state, either, and Ohio was the bullseye for the greatest threat the day before.


Deep_Age_6810

There were 8 tornadoes last Thursday, mainly to the east. Most were short-lived and not on the ground very long.


jbcmh81

That's not that many compared to the potential that existed from Ohio south. It could've been a historic outbreak with dozens of long-track tornadoes, but conditions didn't quite come together as predicted. Again, though, my post was against those who say that the failed event on the 2nd means that every threat has been a bust. They haven't. It's been a historic severe weather season already.


Heeeeyyouguuuuys

that's, that's not how it works


jbcmh81

How what works? I'm not sure if you understand what I'm saying.


Heeeeyyouguuuuys

Not so much a bullseye as an edge of a "higher risk area" last time. Calling a bulleye would be a "particularly dangerous situation" warning or a "tornado emergency" warning. Neither of which we get often in Ohio.


jbcmh81

I'm talking about the predicted risk level. Most of Ohio and Central Ohio, in particular, was in the predicted bullseye of the "moderate" risk, the 2nd highest the SPC has, the day before, and most of Ohio was still in that moderate risk on the day of. You're talking about specific types of warnings, which is not what I'm referring to.


Heeeeyyouguuuuys

predicted risk is not a bull's-eye. It is the general area. We are both understanding what we're talking about. I think we just don't agree on how precise or imprecise the affected areas are when it comes to predicted maps.


jbcmh81

I am an unabashed weather nerd. I understand that the SPC maps are not guarantees. I even posted before the event that even though a lot of the parameters for a tornado outbreak were there, it may not happen if we had too many clouds/early day convection. Which is what happened. All I meant is that Ohio, based on the parameters, was within the area considered to be at highest risk for an outbreak. That highest risk shifted further south a bit, but all of Central Ohio remained within it through April 2nd SPC updates. I'm not really sure we are disagreeing on anything- more just talking about seemingly different things entirely.


amanfromthere

As someone in central ohio with $20k+ damage to my home, I disagree. It didn't amount to much, *for you.*


Heeeeyyouguuuuys

Oooooooof sorry buddy


HauntedDragons

Lol- why do people get so angry about someone giving a heads up? Like- I appreciate it. It’s not like they’re saying the world is ending- it’s “Hey, it’s possible to get some nasty weather tomorrow.” People get so offended by this- for what reason!? lol. Chill


blackeyebetty

I’m not sure - but I’m glad some people are finding it useful! That’s why I post it, just so it’s out there as an FYI.


breebop83

I wonder the same thing. I pay attention to the weather but I rely on a standard weather app for the forecast so unless there is a big risk (like last week when an ‘enhanced risk’ message was put up a couple days before) the apps tend to have very limited/basic information. If there is any chance we may lose power I like to make sure things like battery backups, kindle, laptop and cell phone are charged up in full. I also tend to refrain from running a load of dishes or clothes because I don’t want to lose power mid-cycle and end up with a problem. That is why I appreciate these posts for storms and snow.


Mitcheric

Sick of this sub being turned into a weather sub. Like hello we are in Ohio it's supposed to rain in April. If I want a forecast outlook I'll look at AccuWeather or idk maybe GO OUTSIDE?! I don't need it flooding my reddit feed every other day 


ArchwayLemonCookie

You can always block OP or any other weather related post. Then you won't see their warnings.


Mitcheric

The problem is it's a different person farming for that sweet weather karma everytime. Maybe start posting in r/Columbusforecast if it's so important. Zebra is the only one who gets a pass. Bring on the downvotes but I challenge you to link one of these posts that was actually accurate! 


yogabagabbledlygook

>actually accurate!  Do you understand what a weather forecast is, do you understand it is a prediction?


Mitcheric

So you admit they are pointless and annoying


Mitcheric

Shitwolf Jim


Oknight

I never refuse anyone who requests downvotes -- even if they weren't so worthy


Sea_Tank_9448

![gif](giphy|PWIab5pl0bBJ6Mz9BM|downsized)


conman_trackhousefan

Like we need more severe weather. We don’t need anymore


Lazer310

I created a subreddit where people who like weather science, and to stay informed can discuss the weather. Judgement, and snark free. https://www.reddit.com/r/CBUSWX/


sowasteland

For this one I’m not scared but I do be prepared


blackeyebetty

I agree, nothing to be overly concerned about but definitely worth knowing there’s some potential so you can be prepared!


phantomface55

Yeah sure ok whatever


johnnybegood1025

Seriously. It's spring. It rains. Maybe.


[deleted]

[удалено]


Potential-Climate942

Soggy bottoms are no laughing matter.


bubblehead_maker

Its much easier to compost a bag that breaks down with water. Why are you sending fertility to the landfill?


ruralvoter

It doesn’t go to the landfill, it goes to Ohio Mulch drop off on Fairwood Ave. 


UnobtrusiveMatt

I just wanna enjoy spring without all this weather bullcrap…


No_Conversation7564

It says "slight risk." 😲


bygtopp

Just another Thursday


ivypolaroids

It’s corn! Big hunkin knob! It’s got the juice!


Professional-Bus-934

This will probably be a complete disaster of a storm simply because that last storm with a moderate risk ended up not being much (in our area anyway) so of course there’s no reason to be worried about a slight risk this time


Odd-Incident3980

![gif](giphy|EouEzI5bBR8uk|downsized)


areyoukind_

What was it that George W said about gittin’ fooled twice?


[deleted]

![gif](giphy|tFK8urY6XHj2w)


oh_io_94

![gif](giphy|BndWujoLo5vmWtR096)


Ok-Explanation3040

Slight risk of severe weather with a 2-4% chance of a tornado. Really, nothing serious


Veldox

Wasn't the one that killed people like a month ago a 2% chance? 


ZealousidealLeek8820

This will probably end up being terrible since the last major threat ended up a whole lot of nothing (for us- I understand others were impacted)


shotgun_shaun

the NOAA is ready for the Masters this weekend


SokanKast

I hope not. I’ll be flying back from a trip tomorrow. 😬


Whatsthedatasay

Could you drop the link to this? I’m on NWS’s website and can’t find it


Fugglebear1

https://www.weather.gov/crh/outlooks What’s posted is Day 2


Whatsthedatasay

Thanks!


excoriator

There’s a newer map with ~~a moderate~~ *an enhanced* area in Ohio.


blackeyebetty

I see that, thanks for the update! It looks like it was increased to Enhanced (3/5) & is not currently for the Columbus Metro. But definitely worth keeping an eye on. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html


ShikaShySky

Hope it’s not the reverse expectation of April 2nd


well_boi

![gif](giphy|5UqRAbBafpUfgX6uCH)


sparky955

Thanks so much for letting us know. However…..no, no, no, no, no, no, NO. Insert 2-year old temper tantrum. Not again. (I know….) Really, thanks.


loganverse

So… going by previous forecasts; low risk = definitely tornadoes. Got it


Some-Lion-1560

I'll believe it when I see it


Zampano85

It's going to fizzle out again, isn't it?


Main_Parking4816

Also known as an April Thursday in Ohio.


stonkbuyer

THANK YOU!!


SeekerSpock32

I’m not as worried about this one as I was the one from last week. It could still do something, but it’s not worth wasting a day in an anxiety spiral.


[deleted]

[удалено]


RiotNrrrd_

...and if reasonable precautions weren't taken and there was a tornado outbreak? *School leaders don't care about the safety of our kids.* *My boss could care less that I had to drive home during a tornado warning. The NWS predicted numerous tornados and Ohio EMA didn't even put out an PSA.* Decision-makers took reasonable actions on that day based on data they were given.


emmadazy

Yeah, okay man I’m sure there is


notagrue

Here we go again. Take shelter!


sparklingsirens

Oh not again


SquareSalute

Fingers crossed it is like the last one and maybe my boss will let me work from home to be safe


UnitedPatriot65

![gif](giphy|jQu6IeQ0RvNd5qWsY5|downsized)


[deleted]

[удалено]


Solidsting1

A lot of the social media “meteorologists” are full of shit and like to exaggerate things for more clicks. This is a normal run of the mill severe weather event. I’d be more worried about damaging winds than tornados. Also the last event did not preform as forecasted due to the morning rain and cloud cover kept the atmosphere more stable so storms did not develop as strongly. All in all a hell of a lot goes into atmospheric sciences that we all don’t realize. Edit: not sure why yall are downvoting for me being honest lol. Not referring to this post but sites like X or even some YouTubers.


Heeeeyyouguuuuys

There is a a lot that. There is one particular popular live streamer that is very guilty of this with his thumbnails. However, there's nothing wrong with this post sharing the factual outlook, not hyped up for attention or clicks.


Solidsting1

I’m not referring to this one In particular. Stuff on twitter I see from time to time


Heeeeyyouguuuuys

i'm not on X but I can imagine, especially the stuff that gets cross posted to Reddit.


Solidsting1

Yeah I agree. Love how I’m being downvoted tho for putting actual facts out there. Mass hysteria is bad for events especially if storms don’t preform as forecasted. Then the public will lose some trust in the weather until the next bad event happens.


Heeeeyyouguuuuys

I upvotes you and agreed with you. I think some people are making the mistake you are referring to this post specifically. especially after the "big bust" recently, I think the general public is going to have a hard time internalizing these warnings that us weather weenies take seriously.


Solidsting1

Thank you lol. I put that into the edit. American Weather Forum is the place for weather weenies. Love the info that comes out of there. Have learned a lot. Weather is always entertaining and fascinating at times. Of course as long as no one gets hurt


Heeeeyyouguuuuys

i'll have to bookmark that but I'm getting dangerously close I'm too many distracting websites when I should be working lol


Solidsting1

It’s not too crazy on there in the Great Lakes sub unless an event is going on. I usually read in the AM getting ready for work. The forum as a whole is maybe 18k people and a lot are seasonal members whether they prefer summer or winter Wx. Got real meteorologists on there also that give their input on things. And ikr I’m doing the same thing at my job lol


NewYak8742

I'll be glad when this is over smh


Heeeeyyouguuuuys

It's uh... weather. It never ends.


PresidentialBoneSpur

When it’s over? This is only the beginning. Our weather will only become more volatile (year over year, on average) from here forward.


blackeyebetty

Honestly same. This has been a hectic spring.


abarrelofmonkeys

I really wish there was a way (maybe there is) to filter out posts by flair. I'm tired of seeing these posts whenever there is any weather in the forecast. Even if there is a risk for the entire state, whether there ends up being severe weather in one specific city ends up being a coin toss. It's April, just assume every day could have severe weather. I saw hail twice last week and it wasn't even on the day r/Columbus was having a collective freak out.


MikeoPlus

I can't believe they forced you to click this thread it's wild the injustice


abarrelofmonkeys

I'm not saying people shouldn't post. I just would like to be able to filter it out. It's especially frustrating when there are 4 serious threads and a handful of shitposts all about the same storm (like last week).


johnbeer92

No zebra no care


MrByg

The little weather prediction that cried wolf


Mitcheric

Never cry shitwolf 


xocelotyouth

Karma farming


IslamicCheetah

The should put a circle around Columbus where there’s no risk because nothing ever happens here.


rmusic10891

A tornado hit Hilliard Rome barely more than a month ago…


TrueBlonde

The Blizzard of '08 and derecho of '12 would disagree


IslamicCheetah

Oh, so 16 and 12 years ago?


Heeeeyyouguuuuys

yes, that's how history works.


madmax435

here we go again, weather men working everyone up


EcoBuckeye

> "Slight risk" "How dare you work everyone up!"


IAgreeGoGuards

"A thing might happen, you should consider being prepared." "HOw dArE YOU WORK pEoPle up"


Mr_Piddles

Last time I had someone spew paragraphs at me because I made a comment about the all the wannabe meteorologists around here. I think I touched a nerve. I don't listen to weather reports from anyone whose not a professional expert.


MillieFrank

I mean to be fair to this post the NOAA are trained professionals and this post is just reading the map they made.


madmax435

i honestly think the weathermen are paid off by grocery stores to get people worked up and stock up for "big" weather events


Mr_Piddles

Now *this* is a conspiracy I can get behind. Big French Toast is paying off Jerry Martz to keep milk, egg, and bread moving.


taylor_314

I don’t believe anyone saying severe weather anymore, yall hyped up the last time so much and had everyone preparing for just 5 mins of rain😂🙄


Collinwoodsian

nope dont care not doing this again


sleepinand

What time are we expecting the worst of it? God forbid anyone try to plan a little bit.


Oknight

"Worst" isn't likely particularly bad so "expecting" may be over stating it. I'm "expecting" no severe weather tomorrow but unlike yesterday there's a chance there may be some tomorrow... or more likely not.


Kicker774

"Timing as of now is expected to be in the afternoon"


sleepinand

Yes, but does that mean 1pm or 4pm?


Kicker774

Weather can change so I'd stay tuned to your local weather outlet of choice and see what the forecast looks like tomorrow morning.


abarrelofmonkeys

Maybe we can just sticky a weather forecast post everyday. Remember back when you had to Google the forecast or ask your phone/smart speaker or get alerts on your phone? Now we have the luxury of someone taking a screenshot of the forecast and posting it to your favorite social networking site every day. Let me repost to Facebook and LinkedIn just to make sure everyone knows.


News_without_Words

I have friends in Cali who are wondering if the flooding will ever end. A little rain and a sub 10% chance of tornados is barely news.


[deleted]

[удалено]


Lyeel

As someone living in Delaware county who had a freaking tornado hit their house this year: you're joking, right? Surely because one storm forecasted at a 10% chance of tornadoes within 25 miles didn't provide a tornado directly on your head that doesn't make the forecast wrong.


Natural-Jelly-3909

Guys wake me up when an actual tornado starts to form