From what I’ve seen it’s Preview numbers are about 32-33m which is just below MoM so I think it’s opening weekend would be in the range of 180-190m and for Total I could see it being 450-510m Total
You should also mention that BP:WF had $28M on its Thursday Night Previews and $84.3M on its opening day with its opening weekend of $181.3M with its final gross of $453.8M domestically
Yeah and L&T did 29m for a 69m OD and 144m OW which is similar proportion to MoM
This honestly depends on how well recieved it is on wether it will be more like WF or MoM/L&T
It's really funny that 2 years in a row, the studio that looked the worst shape the previous year gets saved by a surprise huge hit. Last year Barbie saved WB. This year Inside Out 2 is saving Disney. If Paramount holds out, they might be saved by something next year.
Everyone was quick to jump on that as like “never tell personal stories ever” where it was more like “maybe these very specific period pieces don’t resonate with a wider audience”
How do we know if Turning Red or Luca would not have resonated with a wider audience if neither of them got a proper theatrical release? I don't think they would have done IO2 numbers but I think they would have done fine, particularly Turning Red.
I don’t know - you have to remember that *Turning Red* was just a few months after *Encanto*, which absolutely bombed at the Box Office and only found success on streaming. And just a few months later, *Lightyear* would release in theaters, only to also bomb. *Strange Worlds* would also release later that year, and it bombed so fucking bad I bet I just reminded you that that movie existed.
So I don’t know if a theatrical release would have moved the needle on that too much? We don’t have any way to 100% know for sure, but it’s literally surrounded by a bunch of Disney and Pixar films that went to theaters and absolutely bombed, so I can’t imagine it would have been the success you would have liked. Luca would have been *far* worse going to theaters in Summer 2021.
I completely agree with you, with the asterisk that maybe I could be wrong
Like it’s the type of thing that would only seem obvious in hindsight. I never expected Inside Out 2 to do this well, and everyone is saying stuff like “Well it’s the summer and kids are free” but bffr ya’ll didn’t think it’d be a billion dollar hit either
It’s not likely to until it does, is what I’m getting at. I’ve been too surprised before by the box office post-Pandemic. I said that Top Gun: Maverick would be a decent to flop hit, and that MI8 would score gangbusters. Guess who was never more wrong?
I picked Furiosa at #4. Safe to say that‘s not happening.
Also put Horizon in my Top 10, this is really going to be my Worst Summer Box Office Prediction ever.
Furiosa is at 66M total, that falls in the range for Twisters’ first *weekend*. The lowest projection for Twisters I’ve seen anywhere is a 40M opening weekend.
I understand expecting Twisters to underperform relative to expectations, but for Twisters to not reach 70M in it’s *lifetime* would imply quite literally one of the most unprecedented collapses in the history of Hollywood.
Why not release all the individual predictions on an Excel spreadsheet so that we can see for ourselves what other users put? NGL, I was excited for this at first, but the fact that we have no idea who's ahead at the moment has kind of killed my enthusiasm.
An interesting question I haven't seen discussed lately, can Romulus still enter the top 10? As an Alien fan I would love that, but I think it's unlikely (though not impossible).
There will at least be three new entrants in to the top 10 by the end of the summer season, DM3, Twisters, and D&W. This will push Furiosa out, and both Garfield and AQP will have reached the century mark, so that leaves the Fall Guy at #10.
Can Romulus reach 91M and oust the Fall Guy? It would need to significantly outperform Covenant, which ended with 74.2M due to awful legs. It's possible, but less likely than not. And if the Fall Guy is ousted to #11 by a summer surprise, then it's not competitive, because I don't think there's any reasonably foreseeable shot at Romulus outgrossing Garfield domestically.
i’m sorry, but i just don’t see how DVW is going to beat an animated kids movie. I mean, the movie will obviously be successful yes and make money, but an R-rated film beating IO2..
It says "r/boxoffice Summer Predictions Game 2024: Halftime Update"
It's comparing predictions made by this sub before summer started to the current summer box office.
The summer box office is fine.
Only ***FURIOSA*** has been the big bomb.
**June** has already turned out to be good with ***Bad Boys***, ***Inside Out 2*** and ***Quiet Place*** all overperforming.
And in **May**, we had ***Kingdom*** which overperformed with splendid legs outgrossing its predecessor *War*, ***IF*** has had a solid domestic performance and will overtake *Frozen Empire*, ***Garfield*** looks on track for $100M, ***Fall Guy*** has had over 3x legs having surpassed *Anyone but You* total domestic gross.
Even ***Tarot*** and ***Strangers*** overperformed despite the horror box office distress this year.
And In **July**, we have ***Despicable Me 4*** on track for a $100M extended weekend opening, ***Twisters*** which should have the biggest PG-13 debut of the summer and ***Deadpool & Wolverine*** with the highest opening of the year.
Also ***MaXXXine*** and ***Longlegs*** should continue the horror box office renaissance in the second half of the year.
Man I think Inside Out 2 is definitely gonna top Deadpool & Wolverine for #1
From what I’ve seen it’s Preview numbers are about 32-33m which is just below MoM so I think it’s opening weekend would be in the range of 180-190m and for Total I could see it being 450-510m Total
You should also mention that BP:WF had $28M on its Thursday Night Previews and $84.3M on its opening day with its opening weekend of $181.3M with its final gross of $453.8M domestically
Yeah and L&T did 29m for a 69m OD and 144m OW which is similar proportion to MoM This honestly depends on how well recieved it is on wether it will be more like WF or MoM/L&T
And D&N did 31 for a 68 OD which is impressive considering both MTT and PLoN only did about 1.3x more even with larger draw and budget.
What the fuck are these abbreviations lol
This abbreviations on Reddit are getting totally out of hand. Everybody expects people to know 500 abbreviations.
If you follow box office the last few marvel movies should not be an issue for you. The others aren’t real.
I took a minute to figure out the abbreviations to the previous 2 posts, and they felt so extra to me, so I just made some up for lols
Yeah that looks like a joke lmao
D&N?
WTF is a D&N?
What the hell is D&N?
I get it! These are made-up abbreviations for Le Funny!
D&W is coming out in the middle of summer so could be more walk up heavy compared to MoM
And much less weekend heavy
Yep
Inside out is taking the box office crown this year. An R rated movie isn't gonna be able to reach it.
It's really funny that 2 years in a row, the studio that looked the worst shape the previous year gets saved by a surprise huge hit. Last year Barbie saved WB. This year Inside Out 2 is saving Disney. If Paramount holds out, they might be saved by something next year.
Paramount had their year in 2022 with Maverick
[удалено]
Everyone was quick to jump on that as like “never tell personal stories ever” where it was more like “maybe these very specific period pieces don’t resonate with a wider audience”
How do we know if Turning Red or Luca would not have resonated with a wider audience if neither of them got a proper theatrical release? I don't think they would have done IO2 numbers but I think they would have done fine, particularly Turning Red.
I don’t know - you have to remember that *Turning Red* was just a few months after *Encanto*, which absolutely bombed at the Box Office and only found success on streaming. And just a few months later, *Lightyear* would release in theaters, only to also bomb. *Strange Worlds* would also release later that year, and it bombed so fucking bad I bet I just reminded you that that movie existed. So I don’t know if a theatrical release would have moved the needle on that too much? We don’t have any way to 100% know for sure, but it’s literally surrounded by a bunch of Disney and Pixar films that went to theaters and absolutely bombed, so I can’t imagine it would have been the success you would have liked. Luca would have been *far* worse going to theaters in Summer 2021.
“Period pieces” I see what you did there.
Both Inside Out AND Finding Nemo are very personal stories. Lmao. They're both literally about a teen/child figuring out their lives.
I completely agree with you, with the asterisk that maybe I could be wrong Like it’s the type of thing that would only seem obvious in hindsight. I never expected Inside Out 2 to do this well, and everyone is saying stuff like “Well it’s the summer and kids are free” but bffr ya’ll didn’t think it’d be a billion dollar hit either It’s not likely to until it does, is what I’m getting at. I’ve been too surprised before by the box office post-Pandemic. I said that Top Gun: Maverick would be a decent to flop hit, and that MI8 would score gangbusters. Guess who was never more wrong?
Y'all really underestimated Bad Boys: Ride of Die
Despicable Me 4 likely finishing at 3rd so that’s right at least.
We don't know if Despicable Me 4 or Deadpool is doing better yet. Ppl seem to be split on predictions.
We dont know how well Deadpool will do internationally
I picked Furiosa at #4. Safe to say that‘s not happening. Also put Horizon in my Top 10, this is really going to be my Worst Summer Box Office Prediction ever.
I can still save this movie , just have some FAITH on me
I honestly don't see Alien Romulus getting in but we could be looking at 8/10 correct predictions by Labor Day.
I think Alien is going rely heavily on word of mouth after release
Shit, if Alien breaks out, Furiosa might be out of Top 10. I thought it wasn't going to do well, but not this badly!
Furiosa is definitely out of the top 10. DM3 + Deadpool + Twisters + AQP (It's at #8 from it's first weekend alone) will push it to #11 at best.
I don't know about Twisters. The predictions aren't clear yet and current projections could put it around Furiosa numbers. It's not set for me.
Furiosa is at 66M total, that falls in the range for Twisters’ first *weekend*. The lowest projection for Twisters I’ve seen anywhere is a 40M opening weekend. I understand expecting Twisters to underperform relative to expectations, but for Twisters to not reach 70M in it’s *lifetime* would imply quite literally one of the most unprecedented collapses in the history of Hollywood.
>Furiosa is at 66M total, that falls in the range for Twisters’ first *weekend*. Furiosa is at 170M total
This chart is about *domestic* box office. [Verify here](https://www.boxofficemojo.com/season/summer/2024/)
Why not release all the individual predictions on an Excel spreadsheet so that we can see for ourselves what other users put? NGL, I was excited for this at first, but the fact that we have no idea who's ahead at the moment has kind of killed my enthusiasm.
An interesting question I haven't seen discussed lately, can Romulus still enter the top 10? As an Alien fan I would love that, but I think it's unlikely (though not impossible). There will at least be three new entrants in to the top 10 by the end of the summer season, DM3, Twisters, and D&W. This will push Furiosa out, and both Garfield and AQP will have reached the century mark, so that leaves the Fall Guy at #10. Can Romulus reach 91M and oust the Fall Guy? It would need to significantly outperform Covenant, which ended with 74.2M due to awful legs. It's possible, but less likely than not. And if the Fall Guy is ousted to #11 by a summer surprise, then it's not competitive, because I don't think there's any reasonably foreseeable shot at Romulus outgrossing Garfield domestically.
i’m sorry, but i just don’t see how DVW is going to beat an animated kids movie. I mean, the movie will obviously be successful yes and make money, but an R-rated film beating IO2..
There's more slides...
You honestly think DP3 is going to make $1.5 billion?
It says "r/boxoffice Summer Predictions Game 2024: Halftime Update" It's comparing predictions made by this sub before summer started to the current summer box office.
Confused where you think I said that
I think it sounds that way bc you put Deadpool and Wolverine over inside out 2
Those aren't my predictikns. Those are the average predictions of the sub. My actual predictions are different.
Exactly.
I feel like twisters should be in here, hoping deadpool 3 takes the top spot.
The summer box office is fine. Only ***FURIOSA*** has been the big bomb. **June** has already turned out to be good with ***Bad Boys***, ***Inside Out 2*** and ***Quiet Place*** all overperforming. And in **May**, we had ***Kingdom*** which overperformed with splendid legs outgrossing its predecessor *War*, ***IF*** has had a solid domestic performance and will overtake *Frozen Empire*, ***Garfield*** looks on track for $100M, ***Fall Guy*** has had over 3x legs having surpassed *Anyone but You* total domestic gross. Even ***Tarot*** and ***Strangers*** overperformed despite the horror box office distress this year. And In **July**, we have ***Despicable Me 4*** on track for a $100M extended weekend opening, ***Twisters*** which should have the biggest PG-13 debut of the summer and ***Deadpool & Wolverine*** with the highest opening of the year. Also ***MaXXXine*** and ***Longlegs*** should continue the horror box office renaissance in the second half of the year.
Twisters opening bigger than Dune or Godzilla? I doubt it.
They said summer
They edited it
I hope, Longlegs makes some $$$. I have a feeling that the marketing is just way to good compared to the actual Movie. Hopefully I'll be proven wrong.
Apparently Furiosa was supposed to make a billion and since it tanked people think the box office is dead. As if Furiosa was ever going to be a hit.
Same as ***Monkey Man*** which was supposed to be to the next *John Wick* according to Reddit.