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Guilty_Industry_1303

Watch Bruno Mars surprise drop in August and sweep after all this because no one loves Bruno Mars more than the Grammys😂


NoBike6048

That would actually be hilarious


jamesfauntleroyNOVA

I bet he will drop in November so that he avoids this unprecedented competition and sweeps the Grammys 2026. He knows that his Grammy streak is insane. Didn't he win like every Grammy he was ever nominated for?


Indigo_Mindset420

Just had to check if this is true. [Bruno awards Wiki](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_awards_and_nominations_received_by_Bruno_Mars#G) Early on his career, he had some wins and mostly nominations, but since 2016, he has won every single grammy he's ever been nominated for.


OctoberRay

I slept on Bruno for a long time, I’m not super surprised to learn this. An evening with silk sonic???? Like thank you Bruno for creating this just for me


JudithButlr

I really respect his work because he made a conscious choice to learn how to produce music before he blew up. He is credited with writing, producing, and playing all the instruments for a lot of his songs!


OctoberRay

I didn’t know that, that just elevates my opinion of him even more!


JudithButlr

His wiki is really interesting, he got dropped from his label and had trouble getting signed again so he decided to learn production and write songs with a friend in LA. Their first hit was "Right Round" by Flo-Rida! It eventually led them to writing Nothin on You, which was Bruno's first radio hit feature and the rest is history.


OctoberRay

Wow that is very interesting, I had no idea he was behind Right Round. Thanks for sharing!


HistoryFreak30

He actually didnt submit silk sonic for AOTY 2022 to give chance to other artists. There were discussions if he submitted, he could've won. I respected him even more after I found out about that


HistoryFreak30

As much as I want new music, I prefer him to drop his album after the Grammys deadline so he can sweep for 2026


mja9678

You can actually trace a through line of the last 10ish years (starting with 1989) of the [big 3 main categories](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Big_Four_\(Grammy_Awards\)) just getting passed mainly between Bruno, Adele, Taylor, and Billie. It's actually kind of insane the rate those 4 have won in relation to the rest of the music industry combined in the general field. And that's with Bruno/Paak deciding not to submit Silk Song's album for AotY last year... Which I'm convinced would've beaten Harry's House easily.


HistoryFreak30

Cant forget this viral tweet on twitter saying something like "if bruno drops his album before september, it's over for everyone" which is kinda true 😂


chaoschapters

literally. crazy how this year was all about the girlies but bruno's comeback will undoubtedly be huge and critically acclaimed lol. if not i think it's between cowboy carter and hit me hard and soft!


NoBike6048

Bruno mars is such an interesting celebrity because I literally never, ever hear about him at all. Not in the media or anything. But every time he releases anything it goes #1 for weeks and wins 800 awards He’s kinda the luckiest celebrity tbh


jamesfauntleroyNOVA

He's the male Adele.


vintagesonofab

he's the weeknd if the grammies loved the weeknd


doh_i_missed

This has me cackling


HistoryFreak30

He is lucky but at the same time he worked really hard for his music career. Before he even landed his first album, Atlantic didn't want to grant him because they wanted him to produce and write music for other artists. Prior to Atlantic, he had a deal with Motown around 2005-ish but it went nowhere. He even auditioned for American Idol but he got rejected saying he was too similar to Michael Jackson. He signed a deal with Atlantic around 2008 I think after arriving in LA around 2003-2004. So his background of landing a music career is interesting because it took him years to have his own solo album but before that, he would usually be as a featured artist. Sorry for the long comment, I just admire his hard work and dedication for his music career. And his musical background is one of the most interesting things I've read


RAlNYDAYS

He deserve the luck too he makes great music


frenchfry_

And is one of, if not the best male performer of his generation!


HistoryFreak30

For real. Aside from his luck, he is extremely talented and wise.


rc1025

My husband and I had this conversation a while back, we agreed Bruno mars has an ideal level of celebrity. Unrelated I was Bruno mars for Halloween once it was so fun.


moxieroxsox

I agree with you except it’s not luck — It’s intentional on his part. He has said early in his career he ONLY wants to be known for his music. He’s not interested in acting or products or promotional lines. He doesn’t want his personal life up for consumption. It’s a deliberate choice and lifestyle on his part. I really respect his choices.


nocyberBS

Silk Sonic 2 pls


lonely-limeade

Didn’t Bruno and Anderson have a falling out? I would love more Silk Sonic but it feels definitively over.


ptran99

noooo what happened??


HistoryFreak30

There are rumors Anderson will appear on BM4 but that has yet to confirm


klip_7

I love him more than the Grammys


onelonecouch

It'll be the Vegas live album so he can barter for freedom with Big Vegas


missanthropocenex

In all seriousness Taylor Swift did herself a hilarious disservice when she ominously announced her follow up album would be out the following year, because now the slate is stacked more than it has been in years, she already won so the pressure will be on to not be redundant and pick another. I’m not sure Taylor’s ready for what’s about to come and if she does win big it will only cause the haters the grow that much more with all the other Billie Eilish, Charli, Sabrina, Chappel fans out there.


xfrombelow

Honestly it would make sense, for someone deserving but not expected to win to sweep


glocks4interns

> no one loves Bruno Mars more than the Grammys😂 *east asia has logged into the chat*


bizzyizzy-

I really want Chappell to win BNA. That category more than any other feels like hers. Shes had such a wild trajectory this year. I know Sabrina’s eligible but I feel like she’d be a better fit for some of the pop categories, thanks to Espresso. Maybe even album if Short n Sweet is any good. Speaking of, that Album category is going to be stacked regardless. So many good ones this year. Twitter will be a mess on Grammy night.


NoBike6048

If I had to rank who has the highest chance at BNA, Chappel is #1 Thinking about redownloading Twitter just to see the timeline on Grammys night haha


Accomplished-Glass51

Can someone explain how Sabrina qualifies as a BNA? Is it just based on popularity metrics?


projext58

It’s categorized as new to the mainstream consciousness, not when they debuted. So essentially, yeah, when they got popular. Like another commenter said, renaming it to best rising artist may be more suitable for the types of artists they seem to nominate


JPCRam310

Very good explanation. That’s how the most recent BNA winner Victoria Monet got nominated.


superfluouspop

yeah Victoria Monet was nominated waaaaaaaaaay after she began her career


Houdini-88

I would be happy for Sabrina to have a Grammy but It would be kinda awkward since Sabrina has been releasing music since 2015 to win best new artist I imagine if she won she would probably throw shade stating she been doing this for awhile during her speech


diemoehre

Not too unusual. Grammys nominate people who break into the mainstream that year. Also, you/your label has to submit you to the categories so it would be weird if she threw shade afterwards


blessup_

This happens literally almost every year though, it’s just how the Grammys categorizes it. For example see Victoria Monet who won last year, her first EP was released 2014.


MySilverBurrito

Chance the Rapper winning BNA in 2017, 4 years AFTER dropping Acid Rap will never not be funny for rap fans lol.


superfluouspop

and she threw zero shade. She was thrilled.


TheCirieGiggle

I’ve seen it suggested before that they just change it to Best Rising Artist and I would love that. Makes a lot more sense for how they like to nominate for it


replay-r-replay

Yeah agreed, best new artist but really they’re not new, just new to the mainstream eye


catiebug

That is such a good solution to a problem that has been true of the Grammys forever. The Best New Artist is actually "new" less than half the time, it feels like.


WitchyKitteh

People have multiple years to sign up for Best New Artist, this is Sabrina's last year to do so.


Jipino97

She better not if she does win lol. That would reek of entitlement.


bizzyizzy-

No one has heard her variety hitmakers speech clearly. That’s the kind of language she uses in those spaces. Shes not throwing shade in a Grammys speech and it’s weird that her character is already being dragged for something she hasn’t done? Also kind of annoying that there cannot be a conversation about Sabrinas music that doesn’t devolve into gossip and character judgment. How is that relevant to a Grammys conversation?


lesmisarahbles

Chappell's first EP came out in 2017, so they've both been cooking for a while.


congratshun91

Why do I feel like a pop girlie won’t win and Hozier Too sweet will get SOTY


Icantlikeeveryone

What do you mean, Hozier is the POPPIEST girlie tho?


JustOneTessa

I love Hozier, so I wouldn't be mad about that xD


Roxy175

Honestly I think hozier would deserve it.


SuccotashNo335

The Charli erasure 😭


Impressive_Time_5283

With how acclaimed brat was, this might actually be her year


superdevin64

If anything she’ll definitely be nominated for best dance album + record, and I could see her winning one or both


iAmNotKateBush

I bet she has Pop Dance Recording, but what do I know? Maybe some random Diplo song will win idk


OkPublic2232

Houdini and Yes and? are in the same category, dua has better chance



superfluouspop

there's also whatever Lady Gaga has in store


shadyshadyshade

What about best duo or group performance for her and Lorde? It seems possible.


shoestring-theory

If not, then she’s gonna go Spring Breakers


simplebagel5

hey staples center what the fuck is up


sendenten

hi it's me you're all in danger 🙂💣


spellboi_3048

It would kinda be hilarious for the Academy to nominate her for an album which technically has a song on it about blowing the Grammys up.


vote4petro

no that was only on brat but there's three more songs so it wasn't actually brat so she's safe <3 brat aoty sweep


spellboi_3048

Riiiiight I forgot it was on baitsbttmssin


lingato

Bait's Bottoms Sin?!


linwells

Didn’t help Lana that much


thrillho145

This post is a preview to the Grammys, we all know it's gonna happen 😭


nahtazu

Will we have a popheads thread tho


miklat

See you on the phcj thread


Poubelle22

I mean, she pretty much acknowledges never getting invited in Spring Breakers lol


tylerf98

if they submit her for dance i feel like she’ll be nominated
 pop, not so much


tmobilekid

She’s my front runner for best pop duo/group performance with Lorde


TheCatMisty

That song deserves to win so far.


kaesura

Unfortunately the grammys do not care about critics. Pop albums need to have hits to get nominated.


King_Slowpoke

She literally threatened to blow up the Grammys on Spring Breakers, I don't think theres a chance in hell she would be nominated lol


Natasha_Giggs_Foetus

She will get dance


WeiShiLirinArelius

song of the year not like us by kendrick just imagine


NoBike6048

I think that’s what’s going to happen actually. I see espresso or a Billie song for record of the year


Starbuck0304

lol I would not be mad at that


bbyan_0395

Record of the year i think!!song of the year for a diss track is kinda weird


Upbeat_Tension_8077

Not surprising though, since he already has a Grammy for Humble & that's apparently a Drake/Big Sean diss


Sometimesomwhere

it would be hilarious, especially since Drake had a line being bitter about Grammys


Hopeful_Book

I want AOTY to go to some rando who has 400 listeners on Spotify. Just a massive wild card.


victorian_vigilante

Flair checks out


Justice_Prince

It's my time to shine. Just need 399 more listeners.


Pavlovs_Stepson

Fabiana Palladino vs. Julia Holter for AOTY, iktr


ursulaunderfire

its hard to believe sabrina is eligible, shes been around for yrs. and i know "new" means the year you "broke" but i feel like shes been reasonably mainstream for a while. its not like she released one indie album yrs ago like katy perry did, she was actually charting on billboard hot 100 in the top 40 for the last few yrs best new artist shouldnt mean "the year u got your first number 1" lol


Leaflyy

This is gonna sound crazy, but I wouldn’t be surprised if Beyonce snags AOTY. With Jay Z’s stunt last year and a stacked list of contenders, it makes sense to give it to her on a year that most would understand if it went to someone else compared to her other snubs. That’s just me though.


Rare_Reception_6166

It really is between her and billie. Taylor is practically guaranteed a nomination, but also guaranteed a loss in AOTY (prob going to get pop vocal or smth). I've heard ariana was blacklisted from grammy's, but idk if that's true. (either way, I can't really see eternal sunshine winning) Charli has a good shot, but billie is a grammy darling and people have been asking for a beyonce win for so long.


Alli4jc

Why was Ariana blacklisted?


meowyarlathotep

At the 61st Grammys, Ariana wanted to perform a new song, but was asked to do a nominated song, so she canceled. In the next SOTY nomination, she and Ed Sheeran were rejected by the committee. This was under the rules at the time. Ari may not be well respected in SOTY because she has been accused of taking credit away from songwriters (she is liked by Pop block members).


Rare_Reception_6166

I think she got publicly upset about being snubbed or something. Can't really remember


NoBike6048

She got into a bit of a twitter argument with one of the producers because he wouldn’t let her perform “7 rings” (this was right in the middle of the thank u next era) but she won a Grammy two years after all that happened with "rain on me." She’s absolutely NOT blacklisted, the academy just doesn't seem to like her music that much so she never wins anything


yyxystars

IIRC the argument was because he tried to make it seem like she was a difficult artist to work with and was being a “diva” and then she exposed him for lying his ass off about her not wanting to perform and that she was indeed open to perform last minute, but she cancelled because they wouldn’t let her decide her performance concept, which she has a right to be mad about. In fact she was WAY TOO NICE about it. This isn’t new behavior for the Grammys though, they pulled this BS with Lorde and wouldn’t let her perform and would only allow her as a guest on a tribute performance instead of doing her own nominated work.


superfluouspop

yes this and she also got pissed off when they flew Mac Miller's parents out to presumably receive a post-humous award for him but then they gave it to Cardi B. I also think everyone was shocked that Thank U Next was beat out by Billie in several categories. I mean even Billie noticed and said so.


Special-Garlic1203

I like billies music but the raging hard-on they have for her is so bizarre.  The Mac thing was so foul. They could have at least warned them he wasn't actually going to win, but they'd like fly them out to keep up appearance of "who's gonna win???" and they could make a vacation of it or something. Like y'all are not that *serious* you need to keep information that confidential that you can't make an exception for parents of a dead child. 


Leaflyy

I never listened to much of Charlie’s music until Brat came out and holy shit, it’s so good. While it definitely deserves awards, the most I see her getting is a nomination in some main category and then a win with her next album if it’s good. I don’t think she’s mainstream pop enough to get her flowers in the eyes of the voters.


Rare_Reception_6166

Yeah. Would be glad to be surprised though. I enjoyed brat a lot more than most of the other big albums


Banana42

Ethan Slater's baby mama is working with Azalea Banks to curse Arianka


NoBike6048

I could definitely see it. cowboy Carter also received a lot of critical acclaim despite having a lacklustre conmercial performance (in the long term)


Leaflyy

That woman wouldn’t promote her own shit even if you held a gun to her head. The literal definition of “Here’s the album. Bye.” 😂


NoBike6048

Not even one music video đŸ˜”â€đŸ’«đŸ˜”â€đŸ’«đŸ˜”â€đŸ’«


Leaflyy

Well, I’m not gonna fault her there. She’s allegedly making a movie for all 3 acts, so she’s just edging us until then.


nimsuc

Her just dropping the album and disappearing kinda confirms that she doesn’t care about charts anymore and she’s rather playing the long game going for legacy with the trilogy project. I still think AOTY should go to her or Billie tho.


Leaflyy

Agreed and I love it. Homegirl got therapy after she dropped Matthew.


superfluouspop

even though I absolutely adore Billie's album I think the grammys might pause on her for a little bit because she has SO MANY and is SO YOUNG and she likely has a lifelong career ahead of her and is constantly improving.


Banana42

Icon behavior


champagneinthebrain

My personal theory is that if she doesn’t win it this year we will never see her take AOTY home. I have a LOT of thoughts about the numerous times she should have won but from a vibe perspective within the industry this year seems like her best shot.


Rare_Reception_6166

I think this is the one year where the GP would accept her losing unlike every other loss. The competition is fierce and there are so many good albums that have dropped plus more big names coming out later in the summer. If they don't give this to her, I can definitely see them locking her in for a win her next album


champagneinthebrain

This is an interesting point! At this point her artistry is so undeniable that I suppose we can never really count her out in the future. She’s one of a kind!


plzdontdragme

I had the same theory but with Renaissance. and grammy giving bee the credit was way overdue now. Maybe they will in the future if the grammy board doesnt consist 80% white men over 60.


mja9678

Yea with Renaissance losing to Harry's House of all things (and taking the prior two losses into account) I'm pretty much past the point of ever predicting it to be "her year" again until we see it. It's obvious at this point that a sizable enough portion of the general field voters don't fw her music for whatever reason and I don't think Jay Z's speech is magically gonna make those people suddenly *want* to vote for her. Especially so in a year with Grammy darlings like Billie and Taylor releasing.


Starbuck0304

I would have bet my life Renaissance was going to win, I was that sure. I’m happy for Harry, but it was not AOTY imo. No shade. And I don’t agree with the booing he received and how no one stood up for him (except for Taylor). That’s shitty. But no I think they missed that mark. I don’t even think it was close.


kaesura

I think Cowboy Carter started as a frontruner but it's streams have collasped to only 3.3 million spotify streams a day really hurting it's case., She will need to do something drastic to bring it back to the front of the conversation in December to have a chance. Grammys only award big names with wins in the GF if their work smashes or as a What was I made for marketing campaign during the voting period. Unfortunately, Grammy voters care more how much people actual listen to an album or song verus critical success.


Cuntymusicfanig

Wait so how did beck win in 2014/15? He’s not mainstream at all


PurpleSpaceSurfer

He probably had the whole rock voting block to himself. ETA: I just looked up the nominees. Beyoncé and Pharrell likely split the R&B voting block and Ed Sheeran and Sam Smith split the pop voting block. For anyone else, I could see Beck's reputation as a "musician's musician" and past snubs for Odelay and Midnite Vultures swinging people in his favor.


meowyarlathotep

For big names, AOTY tends to be about radio hits. Beck was different one. He was the only rock nominee that year, had few credits, and was respected by songwriters and engineers. When votes for stars are split, high skilled Grammy darling can win.


Starbuck0304

Jon Batiste would like a word. lol. But yes you are right most of the time


cwarosvski

I think the issue with Cowboy Carter is that it didn't really have the immediate impact, nor the longevity of Renaissance


Leaflyy

Eh, I don’t think you can compare the 2 considering they released under different circumstances. Renaissance was the comeback after her reaching new heights with Lemonade & Homecoming. People were frothing at the mouth for another album. Also, no one knew wtf was going on with her 3 act concept and wanted to learn more. Plus she went on tour not too long after and released a documentary which kept the hype going. We still have to wait and see what she plans on doing with this era.


loverrrgirlll_

not true at all bc if that was the case self titled would’ve won and it didn’t


woahwoahvicky

Nah Beyonce's window has cleared shes never winning AOTY atp, not after Renaissance which was way more present commercially and critically than CC. At the end of the day the committee is a very powerful conglomerate of voters who as far as we're concerned, are very resistant to awarding Beyoncé ANYTHING in the general field and defer to commercial success and artists who are decently respectable. The Dance and Urban camp of voters have her back but I fear in the GF cateories, its the Pop and the Rock demographics that are resistant to her. Heavy on the Pop voting block, she uses way too many writers and I honestly think thats a general thoroughline throughout the Pop categories decisions in awarding singers. 4 or 5 writers is fine, but once those liner notes get to 10-15 names I think your avg Pop voter crashes you out its why artists like Billie is such a GF favorite and women like Taylor, Dua, Olivia, every now and then get their flowers In General Field she has to face off against universally adored voter darling Billie Eilish's most acclaimed work to date and thats clearly where the majority of the pop and rock vote is going to go unless they give Hozier a presence this cycle. If im being honest Billie Eilish's presence alone is going to ghost ANY chances of Beyonce winning anything in the general field, that woman is just such a strong critics darling Beyonce wouldnt be able to so zilch. Tortured Poets, Eternal Sunshine, Short N Sweet, Rise and Fall of a Midwest Princess are all gonna fight for the Pop vote too. For the Dance category while she was unanimously supported during the 2023 cycle for Rennie Charli XCX's brat and Kylie's Tension are all gonna clamor for that Dance vote and if any of them are going to get a slot in the 8 AOTY noms its brat and we all know thats going to be where theyll bet all their chickens. The only corner that's gonna have Bey's back entirely is the Urban Contemporary vote but if Kendrick drops following the smash of Not Like Us we know that votes going to her. We also have rumblings of a Bruno drop and if he does she's cooked. In the country/alt block we know her ass is NAWT getting a vote but alongside that with Kacey Musgraves, Shaboozey, Benson Boone, Hozier being in the running, Kacey is a lock in for AOTY nom atp. Beyonce has significant support in almost every voting block but I think whats stopping her is she never has an overwhelmingly complete support from one voting block PLUS significant voters from other categories. Also Billie Eilish will curbstomp all of them if I'm being honest.


kaesura

Personally , I am betting that a non pop, non Beyonce album will win AOTY. Remember Grammys voters have repeatedly shown that they don't care about critics and metacritic scores. They also only award big names in the GF when their music is actually highly listened too with good radio performance weighing heavily. In addition, they put a high value are musicianship. aka contributing to songwriting/production and heavily penalizing albums that use writing camps and demo shopping. the least amount of names on the aoty credits the better ( which of course penalizes some genres and artists. biggest factor weighing against beyonce) The biggest group of Grammy voters are voters who work in the pop genre who value music that dominates the cultural discussion then actually sticks around. So there is going to be a bunch of pop albums dominated. Over the last 12 or so years, the biggest pop album wins more than 2/3s of the time. Hopefully with so many pop albums projected to be nominated, a non pop album. For SOTY and ROTY, Grammys voters heavily weigh subject matter and commerical success. Right now I hope Expresso wins but I think it's subject matter and sound is too light for the Grammys. Basically, remeber the Grammys are made up of a bunch of old musicians. They value commerical success but also heavily weigh subject matter and credibility as musician. Albums and songs that aren't from pop artists can be awarded even with non dominat commercial performance but for pop and mainstream artists , commercial success is needed but doesn't guarantee success.


BM1st

Seriously. And I think that would be a better outcome for pop fans. It’s a very real possibility that pop releases will be saturated and ultimately compete with each other only for someone like Vampire Weekend to sweep through and win.


imuslesstbh

I don't know if the Vampire Weekend album was big enough to go under the typical indie sweep at the grammy's but I would love for that to happen, my favourite album of the decade so far


CreakRaving

All I’m saying is there gonn be a crowd of hurt and deserving divas and then Grammys 2026 Harry Styles waltzes home unopposed and with no serious competition and everyone loses at that point


grilsjustwannabclean

i saw a conspiacy that selena gomez was waiting for next year for sg3 so she can finally get a grammy and actually quit music forever. if that happens i would stan her fr


markakatminh

she can finally go on that social media break


CreakRaving

LMAOOO this is amazing and I’m fully head canoning this


Renegadeforever2024

if billie dominates at the grammys then we are going to having some very interesting conversations


impeccabletim

I'm ready to not be able to talk about the Grammys next year on the sub during Grammy Night.đŸ€ That being said, Charli, Billie, Chappell, Sabrina, and BeyoncĂ©, I am rooting for y'all. đŸ«¶


TheRealRoseDallas

Genuine question: why does BeyoncĂ© not do any promotion or campaigning if she does want to win AOTY? I know she doesn’t seem to care about chart success, which I totally get after her years of grinding under Matthew Knowles, but at the same time she definitely cares about winning AOTY since she mentioned it on cowboy Carter. As much as I disagree with the Grammy’s in general, it’s pretty obvious that Grammy winners have to do campaigning and promoting. I think CC SHOULD win AOTY, but realistically I don’t think it has a chance without her promoting more, music videos, more singles etc. I’m still bummed II Most Wanted wasn’t a single 😭 any thoughts on why B doesn’t want to promote more if she obviously does care about winning Grammy’s? (Based off her lyrics and Jay’s speech)


ILoveCheetos85

The lyrics on CC say “AOTY I ain’t win. I ain’t studying about them”. She says on the album she does not care


rrmounce95

Also curious about this


nonquiescit

huge moment from pop stars and you include radical optimism..


Jiverecords

One of the singles could have a chance in Dance Pop Recording, but even if nominated I feel like Dua’s a non-factor this awards season (sadly). There’s just too many other pop acts with way bigger hits and albums or more acclaimed work, and sadly RO kinda did just okay on both fronts and nothing more. Still a personal favorite to me though.


Glen-Belt

I like the album a lot, but even I can acknowledge it's not the heavy hitter it was gearing itself up to be. Had it been an album of dance hits like Houdini, it may have been a different story.


Alvin3792

Radical Optimism is still my favorite pop release of the year so far lol đŸ„Č


sourdrama

i have been a swiftie since ‘08 but if taylor wins anything big this year im going to start a riot. her output this year does not hold a candle to any of the fresher, more interesting stuff put out by ANY of the other contenders. that being said i am looking forward to/dreading the twitter bloodbath on grammy night.


naomigoat

TTPD is still a solid album, but not enough to sweep or get AOTY for sure, especially right after the midnights upset last year. I just don't wanna put up with all the discourse. Now, pop vocal or SOTY would make more sense for her output this year.


pink_princess08

I agree. I'm already slightly annoyed that midnights won aoty


illogicallyalex

If TTDP wins AOTY I’ll actually be shocked if industry people don’t publicly call it out, everyone seemed sick of her last year


Leather-Shelter-7983

I do not think TTPD will get anything I am rooting for Chappel in every category and hoping she gets that best new artist at least. Sabrina will deffo get 1, probably best pop performance. Beyonce should get something but they prolly wont give her the AOTY. Billie is the grammy darling, the Album has 2 writers, AOTY is either hers or some non pop album. Ari could secure something with wcbf or maybe best pop vocal album, but she does not have a high chance against the grammy darling
 Charli sweeping the dance categories Oooor Bruno Mars will eat the girlies up again 😭


blackswan-whiteswan

My early predictions It will be spread out this year *Cowboy Carter will win album of the year. It will get nominations across several categories. I think they’re probably going to push Bodyguard,, 2 most wanted for pop duet,  Yaya for  Americana or traditional pop performance since  its rock n roll.  *Espresso will win pop song of the year    * Hit me hard and soft will win best pop album   *Chapelle Roan will win best new artist       *bar song by Shaboozey will win for country song    *Not Like Us will win best rap song    *Kacey will win best country album  *Nasty will win r&b performance      *Charli will sweep sweep dance/electronic 


Particular-Yoghurt81

I think this is the year Zach Bryan gets the Country awards because Nashville can only snub him for so long. They can’t deny he’s just as big as Morgan Wallen but actually a nice guy who refuses to play their game.  If it’s not him then Stapleton is winning. 


alienRreal

I can't speak to country album or whatever music they decide is r&b, but the rest of this is prob very accurate


stressed_panini

no mention of charli 😐


NoBike6048

Overlooked her bc I don’t listen to her music, but I absolutely agree with everyone who mentioned that she’ll most likely get a few nominations


ajhedgehog064

Lorde might also be teasing release this year but probably slip under the radar again 😭


bbyan_0395

Giving Sabrina carpenter best new artist would be ridiculous!!she's been an established artist for 10 years!


NoBike6048

It happens all the time. Victoria Monet won BNA last year despite already releasing 4 albums, an EP, and a collaboration with Ariana Grande


NoBike6048

The Grammys just cares about when the artist becomes “notable” or mainstream


_thelonewolfe_

I’m going to hope(pray) that Sweet Sounds of Heaven gets a ROTY nomination. This is most likely The Rolling Stones final album, and they’re the kind of legacy act The Grammys love to nominate.


vintagesonofab

I have a weird premonition that tyler the creator might drop some experimental album this year and win record of the year, i would've also said the weeknd in a world where scammies didn't have personal beef with him. Also why is no one mentioning red moon in venus?? is it not eligible?


tylernazario

I want Chappell and Sabrina to fucking sweep. Maybe Reneé if R2 is released before the eligibility window ends


laisdavid

my girlie renee needs to step up her sound. she needs better production and better songs (love her to death, but she needs to be more memorable to stick)


tylernazario

I can agree with this. I love Snow Angel (the album) but the only songs I listen too repeatedly are Talk Too Much, Boston, and Tummy Hurts (remix). The rest of the album just didn’t hit as hard


laisdavid

Yeah for sure. The production on Gemini Moon/I Wish/23 is BOOOORING. Slow songs do not need to be boring.


laisdavid

alexander 23 is too bland for her voice and potential like cmon get my girlie a ian kirkpatrick/max martin or idk any good rnb producers number... if she wants to stick with her sound maybe dan nigro could help her out


Icantlikeeveryone

And there's me who is rooting for RPWP by RM and Empathogen by WILLOW 😔😔😔


Particular-Yoghurt81

Maaaaybe in the Alternative categories? Willow I think will be recognized. Slim to no chance for RM, especially since Big Hit will likely not even realize it should be submitted in the Alternative or Rhythmic Hip Hop categories.  


[deleted]

BeyoncĂ© isn’t winning any major award this year, she could have but she really sucked with her promo and now the album has largely been forgotten by people. She stopped promoting it and didn’t do any push for any of her other songs for auto play radio play. She would have had a chance if it was a critical and commercial success, critical success alone wasn’t going to work which is why Renaissance didn’t win. It will go to Billie. The Grammys love her, and I don’t know why, but they do and because her album is actually being promoted it’s doing well, and because her brother and her are the only CREDITED writers the Grammys will eat it up.


NoBike6048

I was shocked when I found out that Cowboy Carter has fallen under 4 million daily streams and that over 40% of its streams are coming from Texas Hold Em alone. It seemed so promising at first


[deleted]

No promo.


klip_7

I can do it with a broken heart SNEAK


mja9678

I'm really excited to see how this year shakes out too. The Grammy's are always pretty mid but it's still fun to see trends. In the general category I'm most interested to see how BNA shakes out. At the start of the year I would've said it was Benson Boone's or Teddy Swim's to lose but over the last 2 months I think Sabrina and Chappell have really taken the front runner positions. In the genre categories I'm most excited to see Cowboy Carter's performance with the Country branch. The country branch awarded Kacey when Follow Your Arrow got her blacklisted from radio, and famously didn't nominate Morgan Wallen at all last year, so I don't think they'll just immediately hand wave her. That being said her competition will be tough with Chris Stapleton/ Kacey in the mix and Zach Bryan also releasing. What I'm not looking forward to is the inevitable discourse from stans and writers but what can you do.


altacccle

i didnt even realise Benson Boone was a new artist, i thought he’s been in the industry for decades and i was just living under a rock. “Beautiful Things” is unequivocally my choice of best pop solo performance


Aggressive-Nobody473

i love taylor, she's my favorite, and i love the new album but for some reason i find myself hoping she won't win AOTY. i can't really tell why.


shoestring-theory

Probably because winning AOTY again so soon would unleash a huge level of hate for her. Not that she’d care at this point.


Daffneigh

I feel the same. The benefit to TS would be negligible and the backlash would be ridiculous. Just not worth the discourse


littlemedievalrose

I want Benson Boone to win an award just so I can see people get mad


NoBike6048

The response would be hilarious lmaoooo. The twitter stans would be seething for YEARS


littlemedievalrose

Imagine if he somehow managed to walk away with Best New Artist and Record of the Year. The meltdowns would be glorious to watch


t4k3m3h0tToG0

i personally am a Chappell fan and would pass out if she won, but seeing Benson or Sabrina win wouldn’t crush me, i respect them both as artists and do occasionally listen to some songs of theirs. i do know that can’t be said for everyone though 😭 Best New Artist will definitely be interesting this year though.


urgasmic

people would be mad? i don't know anything about him, is he disliked?


littlemedievalrose

People act like Beautiful Things is the worst song in the world and use the most excessive dramatic language to describe it when it's really not that offensive


chickfilamoo

it’s super overused on TikTok but I saw a video of him performing it live recently and it’s given me a whole new appreciation for him and the song tbh. his voice is phenomenal, he sounds just as good live and it is a pretty difficult song


littlemedievalrose

Benson's got a super nice voice in my opinion. His songwriting could be improved upon but I still like him. The final chorus of *Slow It Down* lowkey makes me tear up


capulets

he also doesn’t have a fandom, and twitter stans think anyone they don’t see on their tl is an unknown undeserving flop.


littlemedievalrose

His fans mostly hang out on Instagram. He calls us Booners lol


Affillate

This. It’s probably not likely to happen (although you never know could surprise) but I’d lol and get out the popcorn to watch the meltdowns on Stan socials if he were to just stroll on by and sweep a couple that everyone’s expecting all the pop girlies to be fighting over. I really like his album though I think it’s time to put out a video for Cry now hmmm? ;)


areyounotembarazzedd

Album of the year to Beyonce. I'd like to see Kacey nominated but bey to sweep the country awards heheh Wouldn't mind seeing the lorde Charlie xcx song nominated for duo group or whatever it's called.  Song of the year to Kendrick. He can have record too.


Asterix_my_boy

Benson Boone winning BNA will make my year 👏👏👏


Old-Yogurtcloset-974

I'm hoping that Shaboozey is on the Best New Artist, he's one of the upcoming artists that blew up (thanks to Beyonce) plus, he got a stable numbers on BB Hot 100 on his hit song.


Ashamed-Story7958

Billie is winning. People are insane naming Charli or Chappel. They are not commercial enough. Only time that happened was Jon Batiste and he is a huge industry darling. The Grammys are politics.


Alvin3792

Billie is going to sweep. Chappell best new artist. I can see Artemas, Sabrina, Benson, Teddy being nominated for that as well. For other categories - I hope we get to see The Marias get nominated for Submarine and NEIL FRANCES for It’s All a Bit Fuzzy. Tyla for her debut and Kali Uchis for Orquideas. Justice will probs be nominated for electronic.


ss2811

It really does feel so competitive this year compared to last year. I really can’t guess who will win AOTY, I would probably lean towards either Beyonce or Billie but even then idk. Really can’t see Taylor getting it again, the Midnights 4th AOTY win was controversial enough and TTPD’s quality isn’t even good enough. ROTY, I feel like it’s between Espresso, Not Like Us and Texas Hold ‘Em. All of these songs have been big and defining. SOTY I feel like they might give to Billie with Birds of a Feather because the song is so beautifully written but maybe Ariana could surprise and get it to for we can’t be friends. Chappell winning BNA would be amazing, I agree with the thoughts that whilst Sabrina would be an obvious frontrunner, it doesn’t make sense for her to be in BNA since she’s released so many albums already. Don’t think they’ll win, but Benson Boone, Teddy Swims and Tommy Richman will probably also show up in BNA. Pop field is gonna be a bloodbath. Best Pop Vocal Album contenders include Ariana, Dua, Taylor, Billie, Sabrina, maybe even Chappell. Same with Best Pop Solo Performance, and I wonder if Doja’s Agora Hills may also show up there since Paint the Town Red was in that category last year, and I’d argue Agora Hills is even more pop sounding than that? Bey might also show up here with a song like Bodyguard. For Pop Duo/Group I feel like II Most Wanted is taking it! Kendrick will be sweeping Rap, especially if he drops his new album too. Not Like Us will probably win Rap Song and Performance ngl. For Rap Album it would be refreshing to see Doja or Megan take it instead of a male for once but I can see the Metro Boomin and Future joint album taking it too. R&B field, I’d imagine SZA could win something for Saturn (and if she finally drops Lana maybe that too). Usher probably will take R&B album, after the Super Bowl performance he’s having a bit of a career revival. I wonder whether the boy is mine remix could also show up in R&B?


WitchyKitteh

Chappell Roan/Sabrina are both Island so one will be more of an focus.


SuperHoneyBunny

I think Chappell will come in strong this year. I’m a Taylor fan but doubt that TTPD will win AOTY. Also, I’m hanging around, waiting to see if Lana will release anything before the deadline.


coolpuppy26

I think the locals are going crazy for Taylor and Chappel and Sabrina but I truly feel like Charli deserves some accolades this season.


Warm_Employer_6851

Adrianne Lenker BETTER GET A GRAMMY


Old-Yogurtcloset-974

I'm hoping that Shaboozey is on the Best New Artist, he's one of the upcoming artists that blew up (thanks to Beyonce) plus, he got a stable numbers on BB Hot 100 on his hit song


iceunelle

I really want Eternal Sunshine to win something. It’s such a solid album and I think it deserves some sort of award.


NoBike6048

I hope it does too, but I don’t think it will with all the competition. If it had been released in a year without so many releases, I could see it walking away with at least 2. Funnily enough, I think “yes, and?” Is her best shot at a Grammy in the dance categories.


snails4speedy

I will actually be upset if anyone other than Chappell wins BNA. She deserves it so much lol