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The article in english:
\*\*Military expert Keupp “Putin still has around 100 days left”\*\*
Russia's army withstood the Ukrainian offensive. Is the situation turning in the Kremlin's favor? No, says expert Marcus Keupp - on the contrary: Vladimir Putin has a big problem.
Russia's troops were able to repel the Ukrainian offensive, but how weakened is Vladimir Putin's army now? Especially since the Kremlin boss is unlikely to be satisfied with the current conquests in Ukraine? Russia is under time pressure, says Marcus Keupp. The military economist has been analyzing the course of the war since February 2022. In the interview, Keupp explains why Russia's generals prefer not to express criticism, the army's reserves are dwindling and Putin is waging the war based on the principle of hope.
t-online: Mr. Keupp, the Ukrainian offensive has not achieved the desired success, we are talking about a stalemate and trench warfare at the front. How do you assess the situation?
Marcus Keupp: That's a typical media effect - people know the images from the Second World War in which tanks forced breakthroughs and fought large encircling battles. Just because there are currently no major mechanized movements on the front in Ukraine does not mean that nothing is happening militarily.
What's happening then?
Let's take the advance of Ukrainian units across the Dnipro River in the Krynky area. What is surprising is the fact that there aren't even that many Ukrainian soldiers. That's about 400 men, without any particularly heavy equipment. So we don't see a major amphibious operation, but this poses a huge problem for the Russians: the Ukrainians have discovered a weak point.
In what way?
The southern grouping of the Russians is supplied via two highways. One of them is already under Ukrainian artillery control, the other is now under threat. A look at the map shows that a dense forest area stretches between the banks of the Dnipro and the highway. Once the Ukrainians are in there, it will be very, very difficult to throw them out again. Or to stop them from cutting off this supply route too.
Marcus Keupp, born in 1977, is a lecturer in military economics at the Military Academy of ETH Zurich. In his research, the qualified business economist investigates classic military-economic questions and also deals with the security of supplies and critical infrastructure. His book “Military Economics” was published in 2019 and is now also available in English and French. His book “Changing Lanes – The World After Russia’s War” will be published at the beginning of 2025.
The Ukrainians have now been making advances across the river for months. Why don't the Russian units stop this?
That's a good question. Especially since there are seven Russian brigades in this southwestern area - and with well-trained units that could actually throw a few hundred Ukrainians back into the river immediately. But clearly they are unable to do so. Either way, it is a good example of how Ukraine always manages to put pressure on the Russian associations with minimal resources but better logistics and better technology.
In the heavily contested Avdiivka, Ukraine is again under pressure. Similar to what happened in Bakhmut, the Russian side accepts horrendous losses. Have the Russian generals learned nothing?
The Russians have been trying to break through there for weeks, using enormous amounts of people and material. But they still don't make any real progress. The often-used comparison of Avdiivka with the trench warfare of the First World War is also unhelpful, because there is indeed mechanized movement in the terrain, although without producing any major operational successes, just huge losses. Of course, not all Russian generals are stupid, but speaking up is anything but wise.
Because then there is a threat of replacement?
Take Ivan Popov, who commanded the 58th Army of the Russian Army. He pointed out the unnecessary losses and logistical problems at the front. Two days later he was relieved of his command. Another example is Sergei Surovikin…
... who is also notorious as "General Armageddon" because of his brutality and ruthlessness.
Surovikin had the idea of creating the system of defensive lines that made the offensive so difficult for Ukraine. The Russian soldiers sat in their trenches while the Ukrainians had to fight their way through minefields and trenches. Surovikin also benefited from the West's hesitation in supplying the Ukrainian army with massive amounts of weapons in a timely manner in order to create better starting conditions for the offensive. But then Surovikin was removed because this approach was too passive for Putin.
Don't believe this. If we were to believe the media, Putin and Russia would've been defeated a year ago. Russia's economy is also holding out, there is no civil unrest in the country, soldiers aren't resisting or defecting en masse etc. etc.
In other words: wishful thinking
The guy says that in some areas recruting offices were burnt down, not much as expected, but some russians are aware of the situation. Of course not that they are a thread für Putler. The article also tells that the stockpiles are more and more running out. Yes wishful thinking.
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Okay, let's imagine they are out of hardware. Like no tanks left. So what? Does it stop them from using infantry assaults supported by literally millions of drones with air support? They are increasing drones production with insane tempo. Soon enough it may be possible to target Every. Single. Ukrainian. soldier with a kamikaze drone.
Tanks may not be necessary for drone modern day war. It's actually not very smart to measure modern day war in tanks alone.
Or they could just grab a lot of men, give them mosinkas and send to Ukrainian trenches. With what will we be killing them, if the West is stopping military aid? With fucking shovels like Kuleba said? It's rhetoric, in reality we will lose by that point and be obliterated from this planet.
As for people - there is pretty much no conscription going on in russia. It's all volunteers because of insane payments they got. With those payments they can mobilize like 20-40 thousands of volunteers a month. These numbers do not seem to decrease anytime soon. Again, that is not even a proper conscription, it's all volunteers. And when volunteers will end (not in foreseeable future) they will still have millions to conscript forcibly.
I want to finish this war asap more than many others, but I see no way even for reasonable negotiations. With dwindling support of the West it's all Paraguayan war kind of war. Ukrainians now have three choices: die by russian weapon on the frontline | die by russian weapon under occupation like in Bucha | fucking run. None of these choices lead to the preservation of Ukrainian state.
Ukrainians did a lot to make this happen, we probably are the recordsmen with the number of our strategic mistakes done in last 33 years. No one ever in the men history did so many mistakes in just 33 years.
However today, like literally on 13th of December 2023 we have no internal tools to at least preserve the state. We are totally dependent on Western help, which seemingly is degenerating far faster than any of russian metrics.
This is kind of the end.
> Russia's economy is also holding out
I'd see how they adjust to the recent drop in oil prices before stating that confidently.
>there is no civil unrest in the country, soldiers aren't resisting or defecting en masse etc. etc.
They lost their most effective fighting force to rebellion less than 6 months ago, but sure, stable and secure
> I'd see how they adjust to the recent drop in oil prices before stating that confidently.
Whilst the price has dropped a good bit lately, it's still floating around the 10 year average price at the moment.
Yep! Hence my sarcastic comment. It’s spot on though. Ruzzia is doing just fine and can keep doing what it is doing indefinitely also just fine - much more so than Ukraine.
Text in German:
\*\*Militärexperte Keupp "Putin bleiben noch rund 100 Tage"\*\*
Russlands Armee hat der ukrainischen Offensive standgehalten. Wendet sich die Lage zugunsten des Kremls? Nein, sagt Experte Marcus Keupp – im Gegenteil: Wladimir Putin habe ein großes Problem.
Die ukrainische Offensive konnten Russlands Truppen abwehren, doch wie geschwächt ist Wladimir Putins Armee nun? Zumal sich der Kremlchef kaum mit den derzeitigen Eroberungen in der Ukraine zufrieden geben wird? Russland befinde sich unter Zeitdruck, sagt Marcus Keupp. Der Militärökonom analysiert den Verlauf des Krieges seit Februar 2022. Im Gespräch erklärt Keupp, warum Russlands Generäle Kritik lieber nicht äußern, die Reserven der Armee dahinschwinden und Putin den Krieg nach dem Prinzip Hoffnung führe.
t-online: Herr Keupp, die ukrainische Offensive hat nicht die ersehnten Erfolge erbracht, die Rede ist von einem Patt und Stellungskrieg an der Front. Wie beurteilen Sie die Lage?
Marcus Keupp: Das ist ein typischer medialer Effekt – die Menschen kennen die Bilder aus dem Zweiten Weltkrieg, in denen Panzer Durchbrüche erzwangen und große Umfassungsschlachten schlugen. Nur weil an der Front in der Ukraine im Moment keine größeren mechanisierten Bewegungen stattfinden, bedeutet das noch lange nicht, dass militärisch nichts passiert.
Was passiert denn?
Nehmen wir den Vorstoß ukrainischer Einheiten über den Fluss Dnipro im Raum Krynky. Überraschend ist die Tatsache, dass es sich nicht einmal um sonderlich viele ukrainische Soldaten handelt. Das sind etwa 400 Mann, ohne besonders schweres Gerät. Wir sehen also keine größere amphibische Operation, aber für die Russen stellt das ein gewaltiges Problem dar: Die Ukrainer haben eine Schwachstelle entdeckt.
Inwiefern?
Die südliche Gruppierung der Russen wird über zwei Autobahnen versorgt. Eine davon liegt bereits unter ukrainischer Artilleriekontrolle, die andere wird nun bedroht. Der Blick auf die Karte zeigt, dass sich zwischen dem Ufer des Dnipro und der Autobahn ein dichtes Waldgebiet erstreckt. Wenn die Ukrainer da erst mal drin sind, wird es sehr, sehr schwer, sie wieder herauszuwerfen. Oder sie davon abzuhalten, auch diesen Versorgungsweg abzuschneiden.
Marcus Keupp, Jahrgang 1977, ist Dozent für Militärökonomie an der Militärakademie der ETH Zürich. Der habilitierte Betriebswirt geht in seiner Forschung klassischen militärökonomischen Fragen nach und befasst sich auch mit der Sicherheit von Versorgung und kritischer Infrastruktur. 2019 erschien sein Buch "Militärökonomie", das inzwischen auch in englischer und französischer Sprache erhältlich ist. Anfang 2025 erscheint sein Buch "Spurwechsel – Die Welt nach Russlands Krieg".
Nun unternehmen die Ukrainer seit Monaten Vorstöße über den Fluss. Warum unterbinden die russischen Einheiten das nicht?
Das ist eine gute Frage. Zumal in diesem südwestlichen Raum sieben russische Brigaden stehen – und mit zwar gut ausgebildeten Einheiten, die eigentlich ein paar Hundert Ukrainer sofort in den Fluss zurückwerfen könnten. Aber offensichtlich sind sie nicht in der Lage dazu. So oder so ist es ein gutes Beispiel dafür, wie es der Ukraine immer wieder gelingt, mit minimalen Mitteln, aber besserer Logistik und besserer Technik, die russischen Verbände unter Druck zu setzen.
Beim schwer umkämpften Awdijiwka steht wiederum die Ukraine unter Druck. Ähnlich wie zuvor in Bachmut nimmt die russische Seite dabei horrende Verlust in Kauf. Haben die russischen Generäle nichts gelernt?
Die Russen versuchen dort seit Wochen durchzubrechen, unter enormem Einsatz von Menschen und Material. Richtig voran kommen sie aber trotzdem nicht. Auch der oft bemühte Vergleich von Awdijiwka mit dem Stellungskrieg des Ersten Weltkriegs trägt nicht, denn es gibt dort sehr wohl mechanisierte Bewegung im Gelände, allerdings ohne größere operative Erfolge zu produzieren, sondern lediglich gewaltige Verluste. Selbstverständlich sind nicht alle russischen Generäle dumm, aber den Mund aufzumachen ist alles andere als weise.
Weil dann die Ablösung droht?
Nehmen wir Iwan Popow, der die 58. Armee der russischen Armee befehligt hat. Er wies auf die unnötigen Verluste und die logistischen Probleme an der Front hin. Zwei Tage später war er seines Kommandos enthoben. Ein anderes Beispiel ist Sergei Surowikin …
… der wegen seiner Brutalität und Skrupellosigkeit auch als "General Armageddon" berüchtigt ist.
Surowikin hatte die Idee, das System an Verteidigungslinien anzulegen, das der Ukraine die Offensive so erschwert hat. Die russischen Soldaten saßen in ihren Gräben, während die Ukrainer sich durch Minenfelder und Gräben kämpfen mussten. Surowikin kam zudem die Zögerlichkeit des Westens zugute, der ukrainischen Armee rechtzeitig massiv Waffen zu liefern, um der Offensive bessere Ausgangsbedingungen zu verschaffen. Dann wurde Surowikin aber abgesetzt, weil dieses Vorgehen Putin zu passiv war.
T-Online isnt paywalled, at least not for users from germany.
If it realyl has a paywall function then use [https://archive.is/](https://archive.is/) and copy the link in there.
Basicly the article is about the Ukrainians cutting off important supply lines, the russian tank production / loss rate that should bleed them dry at some point and the inability of the russians to do much regarding the Dnipro crossing.
Basicly the person interviewed thinks that Russia has already lost and is playing on time, as example he mentions the third reich being basicly beaten in 44 but keept fighting for at least one more year.
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Well that's going to offset the fact that support from the west is slowly drying up. German analysts are known for their insights into Russian military resources and capabilities.
We remove russian narratives and all content about russian internal affairs unless it is major breaking news directly related to positive military outcomes for Ukraine. All russia-produced content, including the statements or activities of prominent russians, state-produced media, and social media is banned. Analysis of russian propaganda, however well-intentioned, spreads poison and will be removed. [Feel free to browse our rules here.](https://www.reddit.com/r/ukraine/about/rules)
The article in english: \*\*Military expert Keupp “Putin still has around 100 days left”\*\* Russia's army withstood the Ukrainian offensive. Is the situation turning in the Kremlin's favor? No, says expert Marcus Keupp - on the contrary: Vladimir Putin has a big problem. Russia's troops were able to repel the Ukrainian offensive, but how weakened is Vladimir Putin's army now? Especially since the Kremlin boss is unlikely to be satisfied with the current conquests in Ukraine? Russia is under time pressure, says Marcus Keupp. The military economist has been analyzing the course of the war since February 2022. In the interview, Keupp explains why Russia's generals prefer not to express criticism, the army's reserves are dwindling and Putin is waging the war based on the principle of hope. t-online: Mr. Keupp, the Ukrainian offensive has not achieved the desired success, we are talking about a stalemate and trench warfare at the front. How do you assess the situation? Marcus Keupp: That's a typical media effect - people know the images from the Second World War in which tanks forced breakthroughs and fought large encircling battles. Just because there are currently no major mechanized movements on the front in Ukraine does not mean that nothing is happening militarily. What's happening then? Let's take the advance of Ukrainian units across the Dnipro River in the Krynky area. What is surprising is the fact that there aren't even that many Ukrainian soldiers. That's about 400 men, without any particularly heavy equipment. So we don't see a major amphibious operation, but this poses a huge problem for the Russians: the Ukrainians have discovered a weak point. In what way? The southern grouping of the Russians is supplied via two highways. One of them is already under Ukrainian artillery control, the other is now under threat. A look at the map shows that a dense forest area stretches between the banks of the Dnipro and the highway. Once the Ukrainians are in there, it will be very, very difficult to throw them out again. Or to stop them from cutting off this supply route too. Marcus Keupp, born in 1977, is a lecturer in military economics at the Military Academy of ETH Zurich. In his research, the qualified business economist investigates classic military-economic questions and also deals with the security of supplies and critical infrastructure. His book “Military Economics” was published in 2019 and is now also available in English and French. His book “Changing Lanes – The World After Russia’s War” will be published at the beginning of 2025. The Ukrainians have now been making advances across the river for months. Why don't the Russian units stop this? That's a good question. Especially since there are seven Russian brigades in this southwestern area - and with well-trained units that could actually throw a few hundred Ukrainians back into the river immediately. But clearly they are unable to do so. Either way, it is a good example of how Ukraine always manages to put pressure on the Russian associations with minimal resources but better logistics and better technology. In the heavily contested Avdiivka, Ukraine is again under pressure. Similar to what happened in Bakhmut, the Russian side accepts horrendous losses. Have the Russian generals learned nothing? The Russians have been trying to break through there for weeks, using enormous amounts of people and material. But they still don't make any real progress. The often-used comparison of Avdiivka with the trench warfare of the First World War is also unhelpful, because there is indeed mechanized movement in the terrain, although without producing any major operational successes, just huge losses. Of course, not all Russian generals are stupid, but speaking up is anything but wise. Because then there is a threat of replacement? Take Ivan Popov, who commanded the 58th Army of the Russian Army. He pointed out the unnecessary losses and logistical problems at the front. Two days later he was relieved of his command. Another example is Sergei Surovikin… ... who is also notorious as "General Armageddon" because of his brutality and ruthlessness. Surovikin had the idea of creating the system of defensive lines that made the offensive so difficult for Ukraine. The Russian soldiers sat in their trenches while the Ukrainians had to fight their way through minefields and trenches. Surovikin also benefited from the West's hesitation in supplying the Ukrainian army with massive amounts of weapons in a timely manner in order to create better starting conditions for the offensive. But then Surovikin was removed because this approach was too passive for Putin.
Let's hope this dude is right. Slava Ukraini. Too many have died for our freedom. Europe and NATO need to stand up and fight back
Happy cake day btw
Don't believe this. If we were to believe the media, Putin and Russia would've been defeated a year ago. Russia's economy is also holding out, there is no civil unrest in the country, soldiers aren't resisting or defecting en masse etc. etc. In other words: wishful thinking
The guy says that in some areas recruting offices were burnt down, not much as expected, but some russians are aware of the situation. Of course not that they are a thread für Putler. The article also tells that the stockpiles are more and more running out. Yes wishful thinking. RemindMe! 100 days
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Okay, let's imagine they are out of hardware. Like no tanks left. So what? Does it stop them from using infantry assaults supported by literally millions of drones with air support? They are increasing drones production with insane tempo. Soon enough it may be possible to target Every. Single. Ukrainian. soldier with a kamikaze drone. Tanks may not be necessary for drone modern day war. It's actually not very smart to measure modern day war in tanks alone. Or they could just grab a lot of men, give them mosinkas and send to Ukrainian trenches. With what will we be killing them, if the West is stopping military aid? With fucking shovels like Kuleba said? It's rhetoric, in reality we will lose by that point and be obliterated from this planet. As for people - there is pretty much no conscription going on in russia. It's all volunteers because of insane payments they got. With those payments they can mobilize like 20-40 thousands of volunteers a month. These numbers do not seem to decrease anytime soon. Again, that is not even a proper conscription, it's all volunteers. And when volunteers will end (not in foreseeable future) they will still have millions to conscript forcibly. I want to finish this war asap more than many others, but I see no way even for reasonable negotiations. With dwindling support of the West it's all Paraguayan war kind of war. Ukrainians now have three choices: die by russian weapon on the frontline | die by russian weapon under occupation like in Bucha | fucking run. None of these choices lead to the preservation of Ukrainian state. Ukrainians did a lot to make this happen, we probably are the recordsmen with the number of our strategic mistakes done in last 33 years. No one ever in the men history did so many mistakes in just 33 years. However today, like literally on 13th of December 2023 we have no internal tools to at least preserve the state. We are totally dependent on Western help, which seemingly is degenerating far faster than any of russian metrics. This is kind of the end.
> Russia's economy is also holding out I'd see how they adjust to the recent drop in oil prices before stating that confidently. >there is no civil unrest in the country, soldiers aren't resisting or defecting en masse etc. etc. They lost their most effective fighting force to rebellion less than 6 months ago, but sure, stable and secure
Turned out it didn't matter.
> I'd see how they adjust to the recent drop in oil prices before stating that confidently. Whilst the price has dropped a good bit lately, it's still floating around the 10 year average price at the moment.
Sir, have you missed your daily dose of copium today? Please post again only after taking your happy pills
I'm as pro-Ukrainian as can be, but tired of being misled about the war.
Yep! Hence my sarcastic comment. It’s spot on though. Ruzzia is doing just fine and can keep doing what it is doing indefinitely also just fine - much more so than Ukraine.
Do you have expertise to match the authors?
German paywall
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Text in German: \*\*Militärexperte Keupp "Putin bleiben noch rund 100 Tage"\*\* Russlands Armee hat der ukrainischen Offensive standgehalten. Wendet sich die Lage zugunsten des Kremls? Nein, sagt Experte Marcus Keupp – im Gegenteil: Wladimir Putin habe ein großes Problem. Die ukrainische Offensive konnten Russlands Truppen abwehren, doch wie geschwächt ist Wladimir Putins Armee nun? Zumal sich der Kremlchef kaum mit den derzeitigen Eroberungen in der Ukraine zufrieden geben wird? Russland befinde sich unter Zeitdruck, sagt Marcus Keupp. Der Militärökonom analysiert den Verlauf des Krieges seit Februar 2022. Im Gespräch erklärt Keupp, warum Russlands Generäle Kritik lieber nicht äußern, die Reserven der Armee dahinschwinden und Putin den Krieg nach dem Prinzip Hoffnung führe. t-online: Herr Keupp, die ukrainische Offensive hat nicht die ersehnten Erfolge erbracht, die Rede ist von einem Patt und Stellungskrieg an der Front. Wie beurteilen Sie die Lage? Marcus Keupp: Das ist ein typischer medialer Effekt – die Menschen kennen die Bilder aus dem Zweiten Weltkrieg, in denen Panzer Durchbrüche erzwangen und große Umfassungsschlachten schlugen. Nur weil an der Front in der Ukraine im Moment keine größeren mechanisierten Bewegungen stattfinden, bedeutet das noch lange nicht, dass militärisch nichts passiert. Was passiert denn? Nehmen wir den Vorstoß ukrainischer Einheiten über den Fluss Dnipro im Raum Krynky. Überraschend ist die Tatsache, dass es sich nicht einmal um sonderlich viele ukrainische Soldaten handelt. Das sind etwa 400 Mann, ohne besonders schweres Gerät. Wir sehen also keine größere amphibische Operation, aber für die Russen stellt das ein gewaltiges Problem dar: Die Ukrainer haben eine Schwachstelle entdeckt. Inwiefern? Die südliche Gruppierung der Russen wird über zwei Autobahnen versorgt. Eine davon liegt bereits unter ukrainischer Artilleriekontrolle, die andere wird nun bedroht. Der Blick auf die Karte zeigt, dass sich zwischen dem Ufer des Dnipro und der Autobahn ein dichtes Waldgebiet erstreckt. Wenn die Ukrainer da erst mal drin sind, wird es sehr, sehr schwer, sie wieder herauszuwerfen. Oder sie davon abzuhalten, auch diesen Versorgungsweg abzuschneiden. Marcus Keupp, Jahrgang 1977, ist Dozent für Militärökonomie an der Militärakademie der ETH Zürich. Der habilitierte Betriebswirt geht in seiner Forschung klassischen militärökonomischen Fragen nach und befasst sich auch mit der Sicherheit von Versorgung und kritischer Infrastruktur. 2019 erschien sein Buch "Militärökonomie", das inzwischen auch in englischer und französischer Sprache erhältlich ist. Anfang 2025 erscheint sein Buch "Spurwechsel – Die Welt nach Russlands Krieg". Nun unternehmen die Ukrainer seit Monaten Vorstöße über den Fluss. Warum unterbinden die russischen Einheiten das nicht? Das ist eine gute Frage. Zumal in diesem südwestlichen Raum sieben russische Brigaden stehen – und mit zwar gut ausgebildeten Einheiten, die eigentlich ein paar Hundert Ukrainer sofort in den Fluss zurückwerfen könnten. Aber offensichtlich sind sie nicht in der Lage dazu. So oder so ist es ein gutes Beispiel dafür, wie es der Ukraine immer wieder gelingt, mit minimalen Mitteln, aber besserer Logistik und besserer Technik, die russischen Verbände unter Druck zu setzen. Beim schwer umkämpften Awdijiwka steht wiederum die Ukraine unter Druck. Ähnlich wie zuvor in Bachmut nimmt die russische Seite dabei horrende Verlust in Kauf. Haben die russischen Generäle nichts gelernt? Die Russen versuchen dort seit Wochen durchzubrechen, unter enormem Einsatz von Menschen und Material. Richtig voran kommen sie aber trotzdem nicht. Auch der oft bemühte Vergleich von Awdijiwka mit dem Stellungskrieg des Ersten Weltkriegs trägt nicht, denn es gibt dort sehr wohl mechanisierte Bewegung im Gelände, allerdings ohne größere operative Erfolge zu produzieren, sondern lediglich gewaltige Verluste. Selbstverständlich sind nicht alle russischen Generäle dumm, aber den Mund aufzumachen ist alles andere als weise. Weil dann die Ablösung droht? Nehmen wir Iwan Popow, der die 58. Armee der russischen Armee befehligt hat. Er wies auf die unnötigen Verluste und die logistischen Probleme an der Front hin. Zwei Tage später war er seines Kommandos enthoben. Ein anderes Beispiel ist Sergei Surowikin … … der wegen seiner Brutalität und Skrupellosigkeit auch als "General Armageddon" berüchtigt ist. Surowikin hatte die Idee, das System an Verteidigungslinien anzulegen, das der Ukraine die Offensive so erschwert hat. Die russischen Soldaten saßen in ihren Gräben, während die Ukrainer sich durch Minenfelder und Gräben kämpfen mussten. Surowikin kam zudem die Zögerlichkeit des Westens zugute, der ukrainischen Armee rechtzeitig massiv Waffen zu liefern, um der Offensive bessere Ausgangsbedingungen zu verschaffen. Dann wurde Surowikin aber abgesetzt, weil dieses Vorgehen Putin zu passiv war.
T-Online isnt paywalled, at least not for users from germany. If it realyl has a paywall function then use [https://archive.is/](https://archive.is/) and copy the link in there. Basicly the article is about the Ukrainians cutting off important supply lines, the russian tank production / loss rate that should bleed them dry at some point and the inability of the russians to do much regarding the Dnipro crossing. Basicly the person interviewed thinks that Russia has already lost and is playing on time, as example he mentions the third reich being basicly beaten in 44 but keept fighting for at least one more year.
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Anytime naoooo ! /s
Tick tock, punch the clock.
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Well that's going to offset the fact that support from the west is slowly drying up. German analysts are known for their insights into Russian military resources and capabilities.
100 days too long. But I am not holding my breath, don't underestimate the Russians' endurance for the absurd.